ISSN 1518 0557
Risk Profiling For Obstetric Complications: A Multi-Variate Analysis Of Previous Complication History, Maternal Knowledge, Reproductive Factors, And Complete ANC

Ermiza Ermiza, Kemal Nazaruddin Siregar, Besral Besral, Fadhaa Aditya Kautsar Murti, Indrajani Sutedja, Cici Apriza Cici
JBRA Assist. Reprod. - Advanced View

Received March 29, 2026
Accepted April 13, 2026
Abstract

Objective: Obstetric complications remain a major contributor to maternal morbidity. However, population-based risk profiling approaches integrating reproductive characteristics, maternal knowledge, and previous complication history are limited. This study aimed to develop a population-level risk profiling framework using nationwide data from the 2023 Indonesian Health Survey and to assess the contribution of key determinants to complication risk. Materials and Methods: This analytical cross-sectional study used nationally representative data from the 2023 Indonesian Health Survey (SKI 2023). Obstetric complications were defined as a composite outcome including pregnancy, childbirth, and postpartum complications. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs). Results: The model demonstrated good statistical fit and stable population-level risk estimates. Five variables remained significant predictors. A history of previous obstetric complications was the strongest determinant (aOR 3.55; 95% CI 3.31–3.78). Low knowledge of pregnancy danger signs (aOR 1.66; 95% CI 1.53–1.80) and postpartum danger signs (aOR 1.14; 95% CI 1.06–1.23) increased the risk of complications. High-risk parity was moderately associated with complications (aOR 1.20; 95% CI 1.13–1.28), as was incomplete antenatal care utilization (aOR 1.09; 95% CI 1.01–1.17). Conclusion: Obstetric complications are associated with previous complication history, maternal knowledge, and reproductive factors. These findings support the use of simple indicators for population-level risk profiling.


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doi: 10.5935/1518-0557.20260113

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